Okay, so clearly the play is to check who is the hammerer out of Atyeo and Asa. We know it is one of them so if we lynch one of them, we are lynching with about a 50% chance of hitting scum. If we lynch incorrectly, and both the mafia and arsonist hit town, we will be left with 12 players. 3 of which are likely to be mafia. The next day, we lynch the correct person, sk and mafia night kill townies, and we're left with 2 mafia and probably 6 townies.
So that was worst case scenario based on the information that we have and it seems pretty good for town I think. Especially if someone has any informative power roles they've been sitting on.
6 years ago
DD feels like the most suspicious to me. The last minute activity from him was pretty damning.
Vote: DD
6 years ago
Vote: DD
6 years ago
Okay, DD is a good choice too. He seems super sus, either asa or Atyeo should definitely get on the train though before it progresses any further. We don't really want DD to self-hammer.
6 years ago
6 years ago
That's a good point exist, a lynch on atyeo or asa might be the better call to identify the hammerer. I just think DDs last minute activity was awfully convenient. What is the play here guys?
6 years ago
6 years ago
Well, I said that I'd vote for asa if Atyeo posted first. VOTE: asa
6 years ago
6 years ago
Voltz said:
That's a good point exist, a lynch on atyeo or asa might be the better call to identify the hammerer. I just think DDs last minute activity was awfully convenient. What is the play here guys?
If one of Atyeo or Asa joins a lynch train and the hammer still works then it's a pretty good bet that the other player is the hammerer. Shouldn't be hard to do.
6 years ago
Bijou said:
If one of Atyeo or Asa joins a lynch train and the hammer still works then it's a pretty good bet that the other player is the hammerer. Shouldn't be hard to do.
well its already done, I have not just joined the asa lynch train I have begun it
6 years ago
Preferably I'd rather you joined the DD lynch train today since he's been playing pretty anti town, then if he still gets hammered then Asa is a pretty easy lynch for tomorrow.
But if everyone else would rather go Asa first then I don't mind joining in.
6 years ago
But if everyone else would rather go Asa first then I don't mind joining in.
6 years ago
Hello I just got home from Canberra. First things first Vote: 24-48 hour nights. Gosh that was frustrating. To whoever is holding up the game, I hate you.
Looks like this day is playing out as I expected. I'm pretty suss of DD and we know that we have a 50/50 shot on either Asa or Atyeo being mafia hammerer, assuming the role acts as we expect (and so far I see no reason for it not to). So what's the playfor today? Do we take out DD based on suspicion or do we take the 50/50?
6 years ago
Looks like this day is playing out as I expected. I'm pretty suss of DD and we know that we have a 50/50 shot on either Asa or Atyeo being mafia hammerer, assuming the role acts as we expect (and so far I see no reason for it not to). So what's the playfor today? Do we take out DD based on suspicion or do we take the 50/50?
6 years ago
Invisi said:
So what's the playfor today? Do we take out DD based on suspicion or do we take the 50/50?
I would rather test whether or not Atyeo is hammerer on DD who has been anti town rather than testing it on Asa whose contributions day one seemed very solid. But that's just my opinion. Surely he's back from Japan now by the way, any update on Asa's status please mods? : )
6 years ago
Everyone says to lynch day 1 cause mathematically its good to do, then when there's a 50/50 on Atyeo and Asa being hammerer they want to go for someone else? Seems counter productive to go for me
6 years ago
6 years ago
if you are killed in a very specific way that proves who the hammerer is then how is that counter productive?
6 years ago
6 years ago
DD said:
Everyone says to lynch day 1 cause mathematically its good to do, then when there's a 50/50 on Atyeo and Asa being hammerer they want to go for someone else? Seems counter productive to go for me
Yeah but if we test it on you then we can raise our certainty level to like 90% instead of 50. And hey if we test it on you then you get to be useful for town by helping us uncover information. This will make up for you ruining our play yesterday.
Isn't that good? : )
6 years ago
I've thought about it a bit. Given the information we have, I would prefer to lynch DD. The only hitch that could come up is both Asa and Atyeo jumping on that train. In reality, this is a non-issue because if one of them jumps on the train while the other is already on it, they're basically asking to be lynched. While the asa/Atyeo situation is a 50/50 now, tomorrow we will be almost 100% and we will also have another all but confirmed townie to work with.
6 years ago
6 years ago
I feel me having a life outside of forum mafia was more important than your plan. But idc, if town wins then im cool with whatever happens lol
6 years ago
6 years ago
I'll be honest, you're like 15, while most of us here have full time jobs and still have social lives. On a scale of 1-10 on the having a life scale, I give you a 3.
6 years ago
6 years ago
Actually wait, if Atyeo is the hammerer and he already has a vote on Asa then if we vote for Asa there's no way he can be hammered.
But if Asa is the hammerer then he'll just die. We should probably do that.
Vote: Asa
6 years ago
But if Asa is the hammerer then he'll just die. We should probably do that.
Vote: Asa
6 years ago
Vote: Asa
6 years ago
6 years ago
Oh, you're right. I forgot that that was a thing. This is a 0 risk play.
Vote: asa
6 years ago
Vote: asa
6 years ago
The only risk is if the hammerer is a double voter, but yeah.
6 years ago
6 years ago
double voting sounds op tho, but let's see how this goes then.
vote asa
6 years ago
vote asa
6 years ago
so we doing anything else today or should I just vote asa putting him in hammerer range? wait for everybody to post incase they discovered something over the night or someshit? idk.
6 years ago
6 years ago
Actually yeah, Vote: 48 hour nights
6 years ago
6 years ago
It's probably safe to put him on L-2.
6 years ago
6 years ago
Oh hey, that was quick lol. He already is on L-2. I don't think there's anything else left to test? I'll just put him at L-1? You've got 2 minutes to stop me.
6 years ago
6 years ago